| Ahead of Bush, behind Clinton: Where Obama stands Jun 4th 2012, 11:30  By Chris Good | ABC News – 6 hrs ago Now that's it's June, we're nearing a summer that will be dominated, as it is every four years, by the full-bore presidential race: candidates and campaigns bickering publicly, schlepping across the country and begging us for votes. President Obama and Mitt Romney are neck-and-neck in most major polls, including ABC News'. With a bad economy that's slowly improving, and a big debate looming over deficits, taxes and entitlements, the race is shaping up as a tight one. But before we cross the seasonal Rubicon into campaign summer, here's a comparison of where the 2012 race stands compared to Junes past. Below are a few broad metrics from approximately June 4 of the last five years in which an incumbent president sought re-election. One common thread: In every year except 1992 (when Ross Perot led handily in June), the leader in June went on to win in November. That's good news for Obama, who leads Romney by three percentage points in the latest ABC/Washington Post survey and by four in the latest NBC/Wall Street Journal survey, although he trails Romney 46 percent to 45 percent in the latest poll by Gallup. BARACK OBAMA VS. MITT ROMNEY: JUNE 2012 Horse Race: Obama 49 percent, Romney 46 percent (ABC/Washington Post May 17-20) Obama Approval: 42 percent (ABC/Washington Post May 17-20) May Unemployment: 8.2 percent National Results: ? GEORGE W. BUSH VS. JOHN KERRY: JUNE 2004 Horse Race: Bush 44 percent, Kerry 43 percent, Nader 6 percent (ABC/Washington Post May 20-23) Bush Approval: 48 percent (ABC/Washington Post May 20-23) May Unemployment: 5.6 percent National Results: Bush 51 percent, 286 Electoral College votes; Kerry 48%, 252 Electoral College votes; Nader 1%, 0 electoral votes BILL CLINTON VS. BOB DOLE: JUNE 1996 Horse Race: Clinton 52 percent, Dole 31 percent (ABC News May 20-22) Clinton Approval: 57 percent (ABC/Washington Post, May 20-22) May Unemployment: 5.6 percent National Results: Clinton 49 percent, 379 Electoral College votes; Dole 41 percent, 159 Electoral College votes GEORGE H.W. BUSH VS. BILL CLINTON VS. ROSS PEROT: JUNE 1992 Horse Race: Perot 35 percent, Bush 30 percent, Clinton 25 percent (ABC/Washington Post, May 27-30) Bush Approval: 35 percent (ABC/Washington Post June 3-7) Unemployment: 5.6 percent National Results: Clinton 43 percent, 370 Electoral College votes; Bush 37 percent, 168 Electoral College votes; Perot 19 percent, zero electoral votes JIMMY CARTER VS. RONALD REAGAN: JUNE 1980 Horse Race: Reagan 51 percent, Carter 44 percent (ABC/Harris, June 5-9) Carter Approval: 32 percent (Gallup June 13-16) Unemployment: 7.6 percent National Results: Reagan 51 percent, 498 Electoral College votes; Carter 41 percent, 49 Electoral College votes Also Read 
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